Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.021388 0.023001 0.024678 0.026554 0.028594 0.030748 0.033197
2026-01-11 0.018784 0.021116 0.023664 0.026664 0.030107 0.033944 0.038558
2026-01-18 0.017022 0.019768 0.022884 0.026694 0.031248 0.036538 0.043182
2026-01-25 0.015790 0.018825 0.022375 0.026854 0.032388 0.039044 0.047715
2026-02-01 0.014600 0.017792 0.021620 0.026582 0.032889 0.040701 0.051207
2026-02-08 0.013530 0.016805 0.020820 0.026144 0.033085 0.041910 0.054120
2026-02-15 0.012721 0.016076 0.020271 0.025954 0.033535 0.043411 0.057442
2026-02-22 0.011978 0.015374 0.019699 0.025673 0.033811 0.044655 0.060440
2026-03-01 0.011353 0.014785 0.019229 0.025480 0.034165 0.045984 0.063594
2026-03-08 0.010794 0.014247 0.018790 0.025287 0.034485 0.047253 0.066703
2026-03-15 0.010379 0.013877 0.018549 0.025343 0.035136 0.048998 0.070578
2026-03-22 0.009943 0.013456 0.018212 0.025234 0.035529 0.050371 0.073955
2026-03-29 0.009537 0.013070 0.017925 0.025211 0.036085 0.052075 0.078046
2026-04-05 0.009190 0.012753 0.017721 0.025297 0.036811 0.054075 0.082748
2026-04-12 0.008852 0.012430 0.017489 0.025322 0.037434 0.055941 0.087347
2026-04-19 0.008576 0.012181 0.017349 0.025472 0.038245 0.058131 0.092602
2026-04-26 0.008208 0.011779 0.016961 0.025216 0.038397 0.059268 0.096160
2026-05-03 0.007824 0.011336 0.016490 0.024804 0.038271 0.059935 0.098937
2026-05-10 0.007527 0.011010 0.016179 0.024625 0.038503 0.061191 0.102805
2026-05-17 0.007227 0.010667 0.015828 0.024360 0.038575 0.062171 0.106232
2026-05-24 0.006967 0.010373 0.015538 0.024178 0.038768 0.063359 0.110099
2026-05-31 0.006722 0.010094 0.015258 0.023997 0.038948 0.064522 0.113986
2026-06-07 0.006544 0.009912 0.015125 0.024049 0.039527 0.066410 0.119353